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Rates Models & Commodity Derivatives

Two curve-driven worlds in one track: interest-rate models, short-rate dynamics, no-arbitrage trees, calibration and forward-rate models, with the caps, floors and swaptions they price, and commodity derivatives, from futures curves and convenience yield to seasonality, delivery and energy markets.

Advanced 10 lessons about 3h of reading Hull Ch. 31-35 Short-rate modelsHJM / LMMFutures curvesConvenience yield

What this track covers

  1. 01
    Short-rate dynamics
    Vasicek, CIR, Hull-White: modelling the one rate everything else hangs off.
    13 min
  2. 02
    No-arbitrage short-rate trees
    Fit a recombining tree to today's curve, then price off it.
    14 min
  3. 03
    Calibrating to the market
    Bend the model until it reprices the curve and the vol surface.
    13 min
  4. 04
    Forward-rate models (HJM & LMM)
    Evolve the whole curve at once, not just the short rate.
    14 min
  5. 05
    Caps, floors & swaptions
    The vanilla rate-vol products every model is judged against.
    14 min
  6. 06
    Commodity forwards & cost of carry
    Why the commodity curve isn't just discounted spot, carry, storage & convenience yield.
    14 min
  7. 07
    Seasonality, delivery & energy curves
    Forward curves as physical calendars: seasonality, delivery, basis and energy markets.
    14 min
  8. 08
    Commodity hedging & optionality
    Producers, consumers, basis risk and the optionality hidden in physical contracts.
    15 min
  9. 09
    Model risk, stress testing & collateral
    Why a price is the start of the risk questions: model risk, stress, margin and liquidity.
    14 min
  10. 10
    Integrated pricing workflow & final check
    One workflow: exposure → curve → model → calibration → price → hedge → stress → residual.
    15 min
  11. Quiz
    Quiz · Rates & commodities check
    10 questions across rate models, calibration, curves, carry, hedging and risk control.
    10 min

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